Archive for the ‘Trends’ Category

There’s a Land Rush on USDA Housing Loans

January 7th, 2010

The Federal government’s best deal for home buyers is no longer a best kept secret. Founded in 1949 to spur home sales and development in rural areas, the US Department of Agriculture’s direct and guaranteed rural housing loans today are just about the only place in America you can get a mortgage with no money down at competitive rates.

As more and more suburban and exurban buyers figured out how to qualify and an infusion of stimulus funds made more direct and guaranteed loans available, the program doubled its volume last year, making 27,871 loans for the year. Stimulus money paid for 84,021 loans. More

Central Valley and Bay Area Real Estate Information and Services at PMZ.com

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US income rise to fuel 2010 growth: report

December 27th, 2009
THE income of Americans made the largest gain in six months during November, providing the fuel needed to propel the economy into 2010.  A commerce department report showed personal income increased 0.4 percent compared to October, the largest gain since May. The data also found consumer spending last month increased by 0.5 percent. More

More about PMZ Real Estate

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Video: PMZ Mobile on the iPhone

December 3rd, 2009

Many of you are already using this, but many are not. We put together this brief tutorial to navigate our exclusive iPhone application.

PMZ Mobile offers a FREE mobile app, exclusively for the iPhone! This easy to use application is the companion you need for your home search. Check out the video below to find out more:

For more information, visit www.pmz.com/iphone

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Market Data August 2009

October 7th, 2009

Below, please find the latest market data for CA State for August.

Median Price Aug ‘09: $292,960
Median Price Jul ‘09: $285,480
Median Price Aug ‘08: $352,730

As you can see above, there is quite a decrease in median price from the previous year but a near $7,500 increase from July of this year.

Change in Price vs. Prior Month: 2.6% , $7,480
Change in Price vs. Aug ‘08: -16.9% , $-59,770

As indicated below, sales are still down month to month, however, sales are up 9% from a year ago. The decrease month to month is due to the limited available inventory because of a “shadow inventory” of foreclosures that banks are holding onto.

Change in Sales Prior Month: -5.1%
Change in Sales Prior Year: 9.0%

Source: California Association of Realtors: Research and Economics Department

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So far, Manteca closed sales for 2009 double all of 2006

September 8th, 2009

Just two years ago in 2006, a total of 402 homes completed sale for the entire year. 8 months into 2009, Manteca closed sales have already hit more than double that amount at 818 sold homes according to data collected by the Manteca Bulletin.

The total inventory of homes is estimated to offer the market 1.9 months worth of homes to sell. That means if no more homes come onto the market, we will run out of homes to sell in less than two months.  More inventory is expected to come onto the market, but tighter federal regulations are keeping banks from releasing soon to be foreclosed homes and encouraging banks to work with distressed homeowners to help them stay in their homes.

“Real estate agents who work with banks such as Brad Young of PMZ Real Estate said there is no conspiracy to keep houses off the market. Young noted banks are struggling with making sure everything is done to comply with laws that require them to make every effort to work with owners who are going into default. It is complicated further by the fact each situation is different.”

Read the full story from The Manteca Bulletin»

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American Home Shield Launches Website Geared toward First-Time Buyers

August 31st, 2009

ahs_logoWith low interest rates, low home prices and a new federal tax credit as the impetus, first-time homebuyers are expected to account for more than half of all home sales in 2009. To help first-time buyers and new homeowners make a well-informed choice, American Home Shield, an expert in the home warranty business, is launching a new website geared specifically to their needs.

The website, www.FirstHomeExperience.com, is actually two sites in one, with tools and information for homebuyers and real estate professionals alike. The website offers a wealth of tips and checklists to help buyers navigate the maze of making their first home purchase. Potential buyers can also search for homes in their area, calculate mortgage payments, find out details about the federal tax credit, download money-saving coupons, and much more.

“We want to help bring the dream of home ownership within reach by providing a credible resource for first-time homebuyers,” said Lelia Chapman, vice president of field sales for AHS.

For more information, visit www.ahswarranty.com.

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June 2009 Sold Vs. Pending…

June 8th, 2009

New Real Estate numbers available for North Modesto Area.
The number of Bank Owned Homes (REO) For Sale is once again lower than the Sold and Pending Sales, according to the numbers provided by Trendgraphix.

The charts and tables provided by Trendgraphix, inc were compiled using the following criteria:
Published June 2009
Location : Modesto S of Briggsmore E/McHenry (20104)
Number of Homes For Sale vs. Sold
Price Range: $0 – No Limit
SQFT Range: 0 – No Limit
Single Family Homes – Bank Owned Homes (REO)

The For Sale vs. Sold Chart(report), assists determining the trend of market supply and demand using fifteen months of information. In addition, the report also displays the pending sales; providing a glimpse into REO sales for the following month.
For the month of May, the chart shows another drop in the number of REO homes for sale; whilst displaying the number of sold homes greater than the number of for sale homes. Four consecutive months now!


May 2009 For Sale vs. Sold Chart

1 year 15 months
May 08 May 09 % Change Mar 08 May 09 % Change
For Sale 100 31 -69% 107 31 -71%
Sold 53 39 -26.4% 37 39 5.4%
Pended 48 43 -10.4% 46 43 -6.5%

Next, the Average Price per square foot, helps establish the market price for the REO homes sold in the month. Note, the garage area is not included in the calculation. In May, the average continues to hold at $83 per square foot.


May 2009 Average Price per Square Foot Chart

1 year 15 months
May 08 May 09 % Change Mar 08 May 09 % Change
Avg. Sq. Ft. Price 117 83 -29.6% 127 83 -34.9%

Continuing, the chart sold vs. list price %. Out-of-town or relocation buyers can use assist them in making their investment decision, the percentage element helps identify where the market activity is the strongest.
In our case, of the homes that sold (REO); the chart shows 36 days is the average number of days the sold homes were on the market for. In addition, it continues by displaying that the accepted offers were averaging about 2% above the listing price.


May 2009 Sold vs List Price % Chart

1 year 15 months
May 08 May 09 % Change Mar 08 May 09 % Change
Avg. Days on Market 45 36 -20% 68 36 -47.1%
Sold/List Diff. % 101 102 1% 96 102 6.2%

The average price (in $,000), helps determine whether the market is a buyer or seller market.
Generally, if the listing price and the average sold price are the closest, the area has a healthiest market. If the average sold price is below the average listing price, and falling, the market is moving toward a buyers’ market. If the average sold price trend is above the listing price, the market is moving toward a sellers’ market.

From the chart below, one can see that the average sold price (REO), finished below the listed price at $119,000 for the month of May.


May 2009 Average Price (In $,000)

1 year 15 months
May 08 May 09 % Change Mar 08 May 09 % Change
Avg. Active Price 178 137 -23% 190 137 -27.9%
Avg. Sold Price 172 119 -27.9% 180 119 -33.9%

Months of inventory, also helps determine whether we are moving into a buyer or seller market. Six months of inventory is typically considered as the mid-point, more than six months of inventory indicates a buyer’s market.
So, what is the chart telling us? Well here it is, if we had no more bank homes added to the market, we would be out of homes in less than a month.


May 2009 Months of Inventory

1 year 15 months
May 08 May 09 % Change Mar 08 May 09 % Change
Months of Inventory (Closed Sales) 1.9 0.8 -57.9% 2.9 0.8 -72.4%
For additional information on the charts above, or should you like information about a different area; do not hesitate in calling.
TO VIEW LAST MONTH

TO VIEW OTHER MONTHS


All reports presented are based on data supplied by Metrolist MLS. Metrolist MLS does not guarantee or is in anyway responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by Metrolist MLS may not reflect all real estate activities in the market. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Always Grateful,

Daniel Valencia, Realtor
(209) 988-7055

Modesto Metrolist MLS Logo

Equal Housing Opportunity Logo

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ModBee reports Stanislaus County leads in home affordability

May 18th, 2009

Good news for homebuyers:

Home affordability has hit a record high in Stanislaus County. Just-released statistics show Stanislaus’s median-income families could afford to buy 83.5 percent of the homes sold during the first three months of this year. That’s the highest affordability rate in California and the highest in Stanislaus’ history. It’s a remarkable turnaround since 2005, the height of the building boom, when just 3 percent of homes were affordable to Stanislaus’ median-income families.

Continue reading at ModBee.com»

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April 2009 Sold Vs. Pending

May 15th, 2009

Number of For sale homes is below the Sold and Pending Sales, according to the numbers provided by Trendgraphix.

The charts and tables provided by Trendgraphix, inc were compiled using the following criteria:
Published May 2009
Location : Modesto S of Briggsmore E/McHenry (20104)
Number of Homes For Sale vs. Sold
Price Range: $0 – No Limit
SQFT Range: 0 – No Limit
Single Family Homes – Bank Owned Homes (REO)

It is true! According the local Metrolist, the number of listed homes for sale (REO properties), was less than the number of sold homes and pending sales.
As seen below, the number of for sale homes decreased to 38 homes compared to 53 the month of March and 65 homes in the month of February; a steady declined in REO homes for sale, three months in a row!

April 2009 For Sale vs. Sold Chart
1 year 15 months
Apr 08 Apr 09 % Change Feb 08 Apr 09 % Change
For Sale 107 38 -64.5% 104 38 -63.5%
Sold 40 50 25% 15 50 233.3%
Pended 58 46 -20.7% 31 46 48.4%

Next, the average price per square foot; the chart represents the price range of the homes that closed escrow for the month of April, indicating in this case $83 per square foot, a slight decrease from $86 in the month of March.

April 2009 Average Price per Square Foot Chart
1 year 15 months
Apr 08 Apr 09 % Change Feb 08 Apr 09 % Change
Avg. Sq. Ft. Price 120 83 -30.4% 132 83 -36.7%

Continuing, the chart sold vs. list price %; out-of-town or relocation buyers can assist them in making their investment decision, the percentage element helps identify where the market activity is the strongest.

In our case, of the homes that sold (REO); the chart shows 38 days is the average number of days the sold homes were on the market for. In addition, it continues by displaying that the accepted offers were averaging about 0% above the listing price.

April2009 Sold vs List Price % Chart
1 year 15 months
Apr 08 Apr 09 % Change Feb 08 Apr 09 % Change
Avg. Days on Market 36 38 5.6% 40 38 -5%
Sold/List Diff. % 97 100 3.1% 97 100 3.1%

The average price (in $,000), helps determine whether the market is a buyer or seller market.

Generally, if the listing price and the average sold price are the closest, the area has a healthiest market. If the average sold price is below the average listing price, and falling, the market is moving toward a buyers’ market. If the average sold price trend is above the listing price, the market is moving toward a sellers’ market.

From our chart, we can see that the average sold price (REO), finished above the listed price at $126,000 for the month of April.

april 2009 Average Price (In $,000)
1 year 15 months
Apr 08 Apr 09 % Change Feb 08 Apr 09 % Change
Avg. Active Price 183 112 -38.8% 194 112 -42.3%
Avg. Sold Price 177 126 -42.3% 181 126 -30.4%

Months of inventory, also helps determine whether we are moving into a buyer or seller market. Six months of inventory is typically considered as the mid-point, more than six months of inventory indicates a buyer’s market.

So, what is the chart telling us? Well here it is, if we had no more bank homes added to the market, we would be out of homes in less than a month.

April 2009 Months of Inventory
1 year 15 months
Apr 08 Apr 09 % Change Feb 08 Apr 09 % Change
Months of Inventory (Closed Sales) 2.7 0.8 -70.4% 6.9 0.8 -88.4%
For additional information on the charts above, or should you like information about a different area; do not hesitate in calling.
TO VIEW LAST MONTH

TO VIEW OTHER MONTHS

All reports presented are based on data supplied by Metrolist MLS. Metrolist MLS does not guarantee or is in anyway responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by Metrolist MLS may not reflect all real estate activities in the market. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Always Grateful,

Daniel Valencia, Realtor
(209) 988-7055

Modesto Metrolist MLS Logo

Equal Housing Opportunity Logo

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Why are there so many offers on the home I want to buy?

May 11th, 2009

“Why are there so many offers on the home I want to buy?” a client may ask their Real Estate Professional. Around Stanislaus County we are hearing that, on average, buyers are competing with 15-25 other offers on the home they decide on.

Why is this? The answer can be found in the amount of homes available on the market.  In April of 2008, there were 6 and a half months worth housing inventory available to sell.  Which means if no more homes were placed on the market, it would take 6 and a half months to sell all of those homes. There were plenty of homes to choose from which meant less competition between home buyers.

inventory

In April 2009, there were only 2 months of inventory on the market, meaning, if there are no more homes placed on the market, we will run out of homes to sell within two months. This increase in offers on homes jibes with what we learned in economics class about supply and demand. The lowered supply and continued demand have created bidding wars between home buyers that have actually driven home prices upward.

Will there be a new wave of foreclosures?  That’s what we’ve been told month after month for the past 5 months, but the banks have not delivered yet.

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